Russia's advance in Ukraine has steadily slowed since November 2024 – ISW
www.pravda.com.ua
Mon, 07 Apr 2025 05:49:32 +0300
The Institute for the Study of War ISW has stated that the pace of the Russian offensive in Ukraine is steadily decreasing.
Russian forces advanced by only 143 square kilometres in March 2025, the lowest figure in the past five months.
Source ISW Деталі According to estimates by the UK Ministry of Defence MoD, the rate of Russian troop advancement has been steadily declining each month since November 2024.
Russian troops captured approximately 730 sq m of territory in November, 393 sq m in December, 326 sq m in January 2025, 195 sq m in February and only 143 sq m in March.
ISW has recorded similar trends based on analysis of geolocated footage and satellite data.
By their calculations, the Russian advance amounted to 627 sq m in November 2024, 569 sq m in December, 427 sq m in January, 354 sq m in February and 203 sq m in March.
A graph showing how much land Russia captured from November 2024 to March 2025 Photo ISW Quote The UK MoD likely uses a different methodology or sources to assess Russian advances in Ukraine, but the UK MoDs report is consistent with evidence ISW has observed of decreasing monthly Russian advances between November 2024 and March 2025. Ukrainian forces have conducted localised counterattacks in the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions in recent weeks, regaining lost positions in these areas and contributing to slowing Russian advances in Ukraine.
Details ISW believes the slowdown in the pace of land being occupied is partly explained by successful operations by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
Ukrainian troops conducted local counterattacks on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk fronts in March, regaining lost positions in these areas and thereby contributing to the slowing of the Russian advance in Ukraine.
To quote the ISWs Key Takeaways on 6 April The rate of Russian advances in Ukraine has been steadily declining since November 2024, in part due to successful Ukrainian counterattacks in Ukraines east.
Russian forces conducted the largest series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine in nearly a month on the night of 56 April.
Ukrainian officials highlighted the fact that Russia is leveraging its naval vessels in the Black Sea to conduct missile strikes against Ukraine as Russia continues to stall the Black Sea moratorium on military operations that Ukraine and the United States have jointly proposed.
The Kremlin is attempting to portray Ukraine as consistently violating the proposed temporary ceasefire on strikes against energy infrastructure without providing evidence, in stark contrast to the pattern of Russian reporting about successful Ukrainian strikes against Russian energy infrastructure prior to the ceasefire proposal.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Borova, and Russian forces recently advanced in Kursk and Sumy oblasts and near Kupiansk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk and Kurakhove.
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