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'Time isn't on Russia's side': political scientist explains why Putin may agree to peace talks

global.espreso.tv
Wed, 19 Nov 2025 10:33:00 +0200
'Time isn't on Russia's side': political scientist explains why Putin may agree to peace talks
Oleksandr Leonov, executive director of the Penta Center for Applied Political Studies, stated this on Espreso TV."In my opinion, the latest information about the state of the Russian economy indicates that time is definitely not on the side of the Russian Federation. Ukraine continues to be supported by the collective West and the EU, but no one supports Russia financially. A very big question remains as to what exactly information about the state of the Russian economy is being reported to Putin. He himself is probably sure that time is working for him. However, does he have the information that Russian oil already costs $37 per barrel with a $20 discount for sale abroad. The average cost of oil in Russia itself is $45 per barrel. All this indicates that Russia does not have that much time to be confident and continue the war," explained Leonov.According to the political scientist, after the ceasefire, not only Russians but also a part of the elites who suffered losses as a result of the war against Ukraine may express dissatisfaction with Putin's regime."I think that now Putin will try to press for at least some kind of peace to be signed, but on their terms. If this does not happen, then after the cessation of hostilities there will be many questions for Putin himself. Not only from the Russians, but also from the elites," he added.As of November 12, Russian oil exports have fallen to a two-month low, which increases financial pressure on the Kremlin and exacerbates the financing of the war in Ukraine.On November 12, the Center for Countering Disinformation reported that retail trade in non-food goods continues to collapse in Russia. Sberbank reported that sales have been declining for the seventh quarter in a row.
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