1. It is currently difficult to talk about the scale and number of these reservists. For now, I can only hypothesize that the main task is to accumulate an additional 110,000-150,000 during the winter. But I repeat, this is a hypothesis.The main question, to which there is no answer, is how much the contract recruitment will sag. Based on this figure, we will be able to answer the question: "Is this an accumulation of additional resources or a replenishment of losses from under-recruitment?" I lean towards the idea that we will see a relatively small accumulation of additional resources. But again, this is still a hypothesis. We will have answers within a maximum of two months.2. There is no doubt that all these "reservists" will end up at the front with a lag of several months.3. The system is built in such a way that we will not see any revolts in principle. Currently, Russian legislation makes draft dodgers powerless (blocking cards, driver's licenses, etc.). They spent two years outlining the complete architecture of these mobilization changes and were ready to launch this very mobilization back in May. But Putin waited. What was the trigger? I am inclined to believe that the reason was a decrease in the number of people willing to sign contracts.4. In parallel with this mobilization, there is a reduction in payments to contract soldiers in a number of regions. Until now, this war has been exclusively about money (money in exchange for death). Now the money has sharply decreased. This will be a reason for grumbling, but not for protests.5. Separately, I want to draw attention to the fact that this mobilization will drain a significantly clearer human resource. Higher quality in terms of qualifications, social status (simply put, not alcoholics). This will certainly seriously hit the labor potential. But we will not see the cumulative effect earlier than 12 months from now.SourceAbout the author: Vadym Denysenko, political scientist.The editorial board does not always share the opinions expressed by blog authors.