Lukashenko's succession plan hinges on security apparatus approval — analyst
global.espreso.tv
Mon, 10 Nov 2025 17:09:00 +0200

Political psychologist Olena Vostrova stated this on Espreso TV."Lukashenko has tried and continues to try to transfer power to one of his sons. That is, this track is working there. In such states, where a dictator wants to organize succession for his own power, it is a natural process for them. However, it is difficult to say now whether Lukashenko will succeed in doing this. Because, in addition to Lukashenko's desire, there are several other important factors. Firstly, this succession must be accepted by the repressive apparatus. That is, all those who serve this regime. It must be beneficial for them, and they must see that the successor must be psychopathic and authoritarian, that he will continue such a level of violence. If he cannot ensure this, they will overthrow him," Vostrova explained.Also, according to the psychologist, an important factor in supporting the idea of transferring power to Lukashenko's sons will be Russia's support. In particular, whether his successor will be able to organize and maintain full integration with the Russian Federation."Secondly, it's Russia's consent. They need Lukashenko's successor to ensure full integration with the Russian Federation. Thirdly, of course, the people. They cannot be completely disregarded. Because if they don't like it, or something goes wrong, that is, there won't be the strong hand they need, then they can also shake this track," she emphasized.








