The author of the Resurgam Telegram channel discussed the issue.The analyst argues that the Kremlin has two primary objectives: destroying Ukraine's sovereignty entirely, or if that fails, creating conditions for severe economic and social degradation that would make the country vulnerable to future absorption. Moscow benefits from keeping Ukraine in a state where its economy remains paralyzed, refugees don't return, and security guarantees remain elusive—all of which deter serious international investment."The key is to reduce the Kremlin's capabilities across different spheres and deepen their economic, political, and reputational losses," the post states, citing examples like Ukraine's defense of Kupiansk and strikes on Russian naval assets.According to this analysis, Ukraine's participation in talks serves two immediate purposes. First, it's a "traditional performance" for President Trump, allowing him to eventually shift pressure onto Russia when Moscow inevitably refuses to sign anything constructive. Second, it prevents fracturing within Europe on Ukraine policy—the more radical and decisive the questions become, the more polarized opinions grow, and Ukraine needs a unified European stance on fundamental issues.But the official argues the talks have a deeper significance: shifting the framework for future negotiations away from what Russia imposed in Istanbul in 2022 and Antalya in 2025. Current discussions are establishing new norms—that NATO Article 5-style guarantees for Ukraine are reasonable, that accelerated EU membership is acceptable, that the U.S. and EU should plan reconstruction funding now, and that legally recognizing occupied territories or limiting Ukraine's armed forces to unsustainable levels is unacceptable.The post predicts that serious negotiations won't be possible until Russia's economic capacity to sustain the war becomes exhausted, likely between late first-half 2026 and early 2027. At that point, the framework established now will matter enormously."When circumstances align and the time comes for real negotiations, it's important to start not from the Istanbul framework, but from a different one—hopefully better—that is being formed now," the analysis concludes. "This combines two opposites: the complete meaninglessness of these negotiations for now, because the Kremlin won't engage constructively, and their critical importance, because we need to create favorable discourse for when the time and opportunity arrive to get results."Intense weekend negotiations in Berlin have brought Ukrainian and American officials closer to agreement on security guarantees but exposed deep divisions over territorial concessions, with President Trump claiming the sides are nearer to a deal than ever before.