The author of the Resurgam Telegram channel discussed the issue.President Donald Trump's recent efforts to force Ukraine toward a settlement with Russia are running into a wall of political and strategic limitations that didn't exist earlier this year. While the administration theoretically retains tools like suspending military aid or lifting sanctions, the political costs of deploying them have become prohibitive.The Pentagon's weapons procurement operates through the PURL program, which involves contracts between the U.S. and NATO allies rather than direct Ukraine assistance. Disrupting these arrangements would cost American defense contractors $18 billion in 2026 revenue and undermine Washington's credibility as an arms supplier to the alliance—making any suspension likely brief at most.Sanctions relief faces even steeper obstacles. With Republicans holding narrow margins in Congress, campaign strategist Susie Wiles and Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly oppose removing restrictions on Russia ahead of next year's midterms, viewing it as politically toxic.Trump's attempts to break European support have also foundered. Despite months of pressure, the London-Paris-Berlin axis on Ukraine aid has held firm. European Council President António Costa recently compared Trump's approach to the chaotic Afghanistan withdrawal, while European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pushed back against White House calls for Ukrainian elections, telling Trump not to interfere in European affairs.Domestic opinion has shifted dramatically in Ukraine's favor. A Ronald Reagan Institute poll shows 62% of Americans want Ukraine to win the war, with 64% supporting continued weapons shipments—up nine points from last year and including 59% of Republicans.Reports suggest the administration's urgency stems partly from Venezuela, where the U.S. blockade of Nicolás Maduro's regime is moving slower than hoped. Washington needs Moscow to pressure Maduro into exile rather than send instructors and weapons, creating an incentive to avoid antagonizing the Kremlin over Ukraine that conflicts with congressional and public sentiment.With a fractured White House, vulnerable congressional Republicans, and European leaders willing to publicly rebuke him, Trump finds himself making dramatic gestures without the political capital to follow through—what one analyst described as "charging on an imaginary horse while everyone watches."