The analytical community Resurgam reported that the rejection of two motions of no confidence against European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen marks not only her personal political resilience but also a shift in focus within the European Union — one that could directly benefit Ukraine.Resurgam says that while both motions — one filed by Viktor Orbán’s Patriots for Europe group and another by the left — were expected to fail, the scale of their defeat matters. The first received only 179 votes in favor and 378 against, while the second gathered 133 in favor and 383 against. According to Resurgam, this result demonstrates that, despite criticism, “the European Commission’s overall course is viewed as correct.”The group explains that the failed votes, initially seen as a potential negative ahead of the upcoming EU summit, may now strengthen Brussels’ ability to move forward with a number of key decisions — including the 19th package of sanctions, legal measures to detain shadow fleet tankers, the final phase of abandoning Russian energy, and the repatriation loan for Ukraine. The renewed confidence in von der Leyen, Resurgam notes, “removes distractions and re-centers attention on deterring the Kremlin.”The Gaza agreement and its wider implicationsResurgam also highlights the significance of the emerging Gaza gas agreement, which could have several indirect but important consequences for Ukraine. It says that the resolution of this issue will help “stabilize Europe’s energy markets, reduce internal tensions, and return strategic focus to Ukraine.”The analytical group outlines several key effects of this agreement:It removes the oil risk premium previously included in prices due to fears of Middle East escalation, potentially lowering energy costs in Europe.It weakens the Kremlin’s propaganda narrative that tries to equate the wars in Ukraine and Gaza — a message often amplified by pacifist and far-left circles in the EU and U.S.It reduces the lines of division inside Europe that Russian intelligence services have exploited through pro-Palestinian movements and disinformation campaigns aimed at undermining aid to Ukraine.It frees up “political time” — as Resurgam puts it — for Ukraine-related discussions at summits and international meetings. “Political bandwidth in Europe is limited,” the group explains, “and with the Middle East crisis cooling, more attention naturally returns to supporting Ukraine.”It sidelines Moscow’s diplomatic maneuvering in the Middle East. The Kremlin had tried to position itself as a mediator early in the Gaza conflict to gain leverage in negotiations with the West, but the eventual deal, Resurgam says, “was achieved without Russia’s participation — instead involving Turkey and other regional players.”It may stabilize weapons markets, as Israel’s reduced demand will ease pressure on prices for ammunition, explosives, and electronic components.It weakens Netanyahu’s political immunity, as the fading war factor erodes his government’s domestic protection and limits his ambiguous interactions with the Kremlin.It deprives Moscow of an auxiliary diplomatic front in the Arab world, making it harder for the Kremlin to exploit Israel’s military operations to rally anti-Western sentiment.Resurgam concludes that the combination of von der Leyen’s strengthened position in Brussels and the Gaza agreement’s stabilizing effect could “return the European Union’s strategic attention to its main challenge — countering Russian aggression and ensuring consistent support for Ukraine.”In short, the EU’s internal unity and the de-escalation in the Middle East both give Brussels more space — politically and diplomatically — to stay focused on Ukraine.