Trump will be able to stop the war. What is the trump card of the future US president?
news.online.ua
Sun, 29 Dec 2024 19:12:18 +0200
Trump knows how to stop PutiThe forecast was made by Cory Shake, senior fellow and director of foreign and defense policy research at the American Enterprise Institute.In his opinion, a peace agreement between Kyiv and Moscow in 2025 will be catastrophic only if Trump and European allies stop assisting Ukraine.However, the expert believes that the new US president will still use his powerful trump card to stop the war.
The only possible change to the rules of the game is for the Trump administration to impose sanctions on Russian oil, which would make continuing the war too expensive for Russia, emphasized Cory Sheik.
There may be problems with concluding a peace agreementThis warning was voiced by Charles Kupchan, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.According to the latter, a ceasefire in 2025 is possible, but signing a peace agreement does not seem realistic to him at the moment.The expert suggested that Kyiv and Moscow could indeed agree on deescalation and turn the existing front line into a kind of border.
But agreements on broader issues such as Ukraines geopolitical orientation and the status of Ukrainian territory occupied by Russia will be out of reach.
The result will be a frozen conflict rather than a lasting peace perhaps reminiscent of the situation on the Korean Peninsula, Kupchan stressed.
Kateryna Stepanenko, deputy group leader of the Institute for the Study of War, also shared her opinion.She does not hide that she considers a peace agreement between the Russian Federation and Ukraine in 2025 unlikely, because Putin will seek the total surrender of Ukraine and the liquidation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
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