Will Russia launch a massive attack on Ukraine on New Year's Eve — experts' opinion
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Thu, 26 Dec 2024 20:12:00 +0200
Is a massive shelling of Ukraine by Russia possible on New Years DayAccording to Oleksandr Musienko, head of the Center for MilitaryLegal Studies, after the Russians launched a missile attack on Ukraine on Christmas, they still have reserves for two largescale attacks.
Plus, the enemy continues to accumulate and has help from the DPRK.
I think they are preparing to carry out one largescale attack ed.
closer to New Years.
Or even on New Years Eve.
And the second one will be 710 days after New Years.
Oleksandr Musienko Head of the Center for Military Legal Studies The expert reminds that the aggressor has not only a military but also a political goal on the eve of the inauguration of the newly elected US President Donald Trump.
Therefore, according to the expert, the frequency of Russian attacks on Ukraine will be really high.The enemy will use the maximum.
Then the Russians can take a pause and resume strikes in late January or early February.
He also named characteristic signs that indicate the enemys preparation for possible massive shelling.
First, intelligence information.
Second, there are signs of aviation.
That is, the planes are moving along the line to Engels or vice versa.
You can see it by the arrival of the planes that bring in the missiles.
In turn, military expert Vladislav Seleznev also does not rule out the possibility of a largescale enemy attack, since the Russian Federation has previously resorted to attacks with Shaheds and missiles during the New Year holidays.
Of course, we must be ready...
But I dont think its worth getting tied to any dates in the context of assessing the actions of the enemy army.
They are acting absolutely rationally.
They have reconnoitered targets on the territory of Ukraine they are using available resources.
The fact that they have resources is obvious.
Vladislav Seleznyov Military expert He recalled that as of November this year, the Russian army had accumulated 1,500 missiles.
Is the threat of a new strike by Oreshnik realFrom time to time, an air alert is declared throughout Ukraine due to the threat of a strike by the Oreshnik a ballistic missile that the aggressor first used against Ukraine on November 21, targeting the Dnieper River.Expert Musienko notes that the deployment of such a complex is noticeable.
Therefore, the Kapustin Yar test site in the Astrakhan region is under constant surveillance.
In particular, it is conducted by Ukrainian partners.As soon as there is some activity there, an air alert is immediately declared to warn of possible challenges.
But recently these have actually been demonstrative actions by Russia.
That is, they showed that they were preparing for an attack, they made simulated launches, but there were no real launches.In addition, according to the expert, there is currently no information that a significant number of Oreshnik missiles are concentrated in the territory of Kapustyny Yar.
If they are there, they are actually in isolated instances.
Therefore, such air alert announcements are simply steps forward, a warning due to the fact that activity there is being monitored and a corresponding signal is being issued.
Instead, expert Seleznev shares that for him, the key marker of whether there is a real threat of an attack by Oreshnik is the actions of the US Embassy in Ukraine.Only if it announces, as last time, when the Russian Federation hit the Dnieper with the Oreshnik, about the temporary closure of the institution then there is a reason to really worry.
And the Russians are conducting appropriate training.
This is a marker of psychological influence.He gave an example of how previously a largescale air alert was declared in Ukraine every time a Russian MiG31K, which is a carrier of Kinzhal missiles, took off.
And accordingly, life in Ukraine came to a standstill, because everyone was sitting in shelters.
However, the technical resource of aircraft is not unlimited.
Accordingly, the enemy began to use these flights less often to drive our country into a stupor.
But they found another option.
They are making certain movements and preparations in the territory of Kapustyny Yar, which do not require serious costs.
In addition, he reminded that Moscow must warn Washington in cases where it launches intermediaterange ballistic missiles.
And heres why.This is done so that there is no unpleasant surprise when Washington, perceiving such missile launches as an immediate threat to its own national security, can repel them with all its available nuclear potential on the territory of the Russian Federation.
Therefore, there is a certain algorithm of notifications between the Russian Federation and the United States regarding such actions and preparations for them.
Russian attacks on Ukraine on New Years Eve in 20222023For the third year in a row, Ukrainians will celebrate the New Year in conditions of fullscale war.
And the Russians love for sacred dates has clearly been evident during this period.Thus, on December 31, 2022, on New Years Eve, the Russian military launched a massive missile strike, mainly on residential and civilian buildings in Ukraine.Kyiv was under attack, as well as Khmelnytskyi, Zaporizhia, Mykolaiv and Kherson regions.
In the capital alone, dozens of people were injured, one person died.
After that, on New Years Eve, the enemy fired dozens of Shaheeds across Ukraine, causing damage to infrastructure.
The end of 2023 was also marked by the sound of sirens for Ukrainians.
Then, on December 29, the occupiers used 158 air targets 87 missiles and 27 drones.
As a result of the shelling, 39 people were killed and another 159 were injured.
And on the night of December 31, 2023 to January 1, 2024, the Russians launched 90 Shaheeds and eight missiles at Ukrainian cities.
The Shaheeds hit the west and south of Ukraine.
In particular, in Odessa, an enemy attack took the life of a teenager, and in Lviv, the Roman Shukhevych museum burned down and a fire broke out at the university where Stepan Bandera studied.
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