Truce in Gaza may last months to two years — Middle East expert
global.espreso.tv
Sat, 11 Oct 2025 15:24:00 +0300

This assessment was made on Espreso TV by Middle East expert Mykhailo Yakubovych, a candidate of historical sciences and research fellow at the Middle East Studies Department of the University of Freiburg.“Today, this is essentially another attempt to freeze the conflict in Gaza. There have been many such attempts before —threats have been issued towards Israel that never materialized, and there have been exchanges of hostages and prisoners,” Yakubovych said.The expert noted that while both sides will likely try to maintain the ceasefire in the short term, the core issues of the conflict remain unresolved.“A stable ceasefire has now been achieved in Gaza, lasting about two days. How long it will continue remains uncertain, but it appears the parties will adhere to it for the short term. Trump’s visit is planned, though the timing and location are not yet confirmed. Troop withdrawals have essentially begun, and Israel has announced the return of hostages. However, it is clear that the truce will not endure indefinitely. I believe the ceasefire in Gaza could last anywhere from two months to two years. Since both sides keep the same positions and the main actors are still involved, the conflict could escalate again. The fundamental issues remain unresolved: the recognition of Palestine has not benefited Palestinians, and Hamas has no intention of disarming,” he added.BackgroundOn September 28, U.S. President Donald Trump stated that his plan to resolve the Gaza conflict had been received positively. On September 29, Donald Trump presented the Gaza ceasefire plan in Washington during a meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.On October 3, Trump announced a deadline for Hamas regarding the Gaza Strip, warning that if an agreement was not reached by Sunday evening, the group would face “a hell like no one has ever seen.”That same Friday, October 3, Hamas agreed to some elements of the U.S. President’s peace plan for the Gaza Strip.Later, Bloomberg reported that on October 6, Israel and Hamas would hold talks in Egypt on Trump’s peace plan aimed at ending the war in Gaza.On October 8, the U.S. president announced plans to visit the Middle East later in the week to promote Israeli-Palestinian reconciliation.On October 9, Donald Trump announced that Israel and Hamas had reached an agreement on the first stage of a peace deal, providing for the immediate release of all hostages. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) urged Gaza residents not to return to the city without official authorization.That same day, the U.S. leader said he would travel to Egypt for the official signing of the peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas.
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