The author of the Resurgam Telegram channel discussed the issue.In a dramatic political showdown, Macron is betting everything on a risky strategy orchestrated through his trusted ally François Bayrou. The French president's gamble centers on breaking the parliamentary deadlock that has paralyzed the government, with the outcome hinging on whether fractured political factions can be forced into compromise—a failure that could hand power to Ukraine-skeptic extremists on both flanks.The crisis deepened following Bayrou's brief tenure as prime minister, which appears to have been a calculated move rather than a political miscalculation. Macron's strategy involves exploiting divisions within France's left-wing coalition, where Socialists, Greens, and Communists have split from far-left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon over potential cooperation with Macron's centrists. Mélenchon, who has been critical of Western military aid to Ukraine, accused Socialist leader Olivier Faure of "betrayal" for even considering negotiations.The key breakthrough came when Élisabeth Borne, one of the architects of France's controversial pension reform, announced the reform could be suspended. This concession opened doors for dialogue with Socialist leaders Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann—notably, one of France's most vocal pro-Ukraine politicians who has consistently advocated for stronger European support for Kyiv. Bayrou subsequently endorsed suspending the pension reform, drawing criticism from Republicans and some Macronists but creating potential common ground with the center-left.Republicans now fear that dissolving parliament would cost them rural seats to Marine Le Pen's National Rally party, whose leader has historically maintained ties to Moscow and expressed ambivalence about supporting Ukraine. This threat is making moderate conservatives more amenable to compromise with Macron's coalition.The stakes extend far beyond French domestic politics. If Macron's gambit fails and snap elections empower the far-right National Rally or Mélenchon's far-left faction, France's robust support for Ukraine could be significantly weakened at a critical moment in the war. The president is essentially weaponizing the threat of elections that would benefit extremist parties to force rival camps to negotiate despite their mutual animosity toward him.Macron is concentrating all the hatred of French politics on himself in a desperate attempt to preserve a moderate, pro-European France that remains committed to supporting Ukraine. If the gambit fails, France could face not only parliamentary elections but potentially a presidential contest that could fundamentally alter Europe's united front on Ukraine.